{"id":722,"date":"2008-08-20T10:08:46","date_gmt":"2008-08-20T10:08:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/?p=722"},"modified":"2013-02-20T10:12:44","modified_gmt":"2013-02-20T10:12:44","slug":"reframing-climate-change-paper-published-by-the-royal-society","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/reframing-climate-change-paper-published-by-the-royal-society\/","title":{"rendered":"Reframing climate change &#8211; paper published by the Royal Society"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Aug 2008 \u00a0<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org\/content\/366\/1882\/3863.full.pdf+html\">Reframing climate change<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0&#8211;\u00a0<strong>Royal Society&#8217;s Philosophical Transactions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><\/strong>The international community repeatedly relates its commitments around 2\u00b0C\u00a0with endpoint \u00a02050 reductions in \u00a0emissions (e.g. 50% by 2050). \u00a0While such endpoint targets dominate the policy agenda, they are without scientific merit and are leading to dangerously misguided policies. This paper argues that for policies to be scientifically credible they must be\u00a0informed by an understanding of cumulative emissions and associated emission pathways. It proceeds to analyse international commitments around 2\u00b0C in relation to emissions already released since 2000, when emissions may peak and post-peak reduction rates. It concludes that despite the vociferous rhetoric around the prospects for 2\u00b0C, the current framing of climate change policies are much more aligned with 4\u00b0C futures. Significantly, it notes that <em>&#8220;unless economic growth can be reconciled with unprecedented rates of decarbonisation, \u00a0it is difficult to envisage anything other than a planned economic recession being\u00a0compatible with stabilization at or below 650 ppmv CO2e&#8221; &#8211; <\/em>that is\u00a0around 4\u00b0C.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aug 2008 \u00a0Reframing climate change\u00a0&#8211;\u00a0Royal Society&#8217;s Philosophical Transactions The international community repeatedly relates its commitments around 2\u00b0C\u00a0with endpoint \u00a02050 reductions in \u00a0emissions (e.g. 50% by 2050). \u00a0While such endpoint targets dominate the policy agenda, they are without scientific merit and are leading to dangerously misguided policies. This paper argues that for policies to be scientifically credible they must be\u00a0informed by an understanding of cumulative emissions and associated emission pathways. It proceeds to analyse international commitments around 2\u00b0C in relation to emissions already released since 2000, when emissions may peak and post-peak reduction rates. It concludes that despite the vociferous rhetoric\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_s2mail":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"blocksy_meta":{"styles_descriptor":{"styles":{"desktop":"","tablet":"","mobile":""},"google_fonts":[],"version":5}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/722"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=722"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/722\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":738,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/722\/revisions\/738"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=722"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=722"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=722"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}