{"id":353,"date":"2011-01-02T00:48:42","date_gmt":"2011-01-02T00:48:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/?p=353"},"modified":"2013-01-03T20:39:56","modified_gmt":"2013-01-03T20:39:56","slug":"beyond-dangerous-climate-change-philosophical-transactions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/beyond-dangerous-climate-change-philosophical-transactions\/","title":{"rendered":"Beyond dangerous climate change &#8211; Philosophical Transactions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Jan 2011 \u00a0<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org\/content\/369\/1934\/20.full.pdf+html\">Beyond dangerous climate change<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0&#8211;\u00a0<strong>Royal Society&#8217;s Philosophical Transactions<br \/>\n<\/strong>This paper demonstrates how meeting the international community&#8217;s commitment to\u00a0<em>\u201chold the increase in global temperature below 2 degrees Celsius\u201d<\/em>\u00a0demands emission reductions far beyond those suggested in the plethora of politically-palatable analysis informing governments.\u00a0Relying on real rather than na\u00efve modelled data the paper demonstrates how even a 50:50 chance of not exceeding 2\u00b0C requires\u00a0emission\u00a0reductions of over 7% p.a. &#8211; a conclusion made all the more demanding once equity-issues are considered. Put simply, if even a small emission space is assumed for the poorer (non-Annex 1) nations, there is virtually no space available for the wealthier (Annex 1) nations. The paper concludes that\u00a0<em>\u201cdangerous climate change can only be avoided if economic growth is exchanged for a period of planned austerity within Annex 1 nations at the same time as there is a rapid transition away from fossil-fuelled development within non-Annex 1 nations.\u201d\u00a0<\/em>Unfortunately, in 2011, and despite the evidence, such a conclusion is still beyond anything we are yet prepared to countenance.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jan 2011 \u00a0Beyond dangerous climate change\u00a0&#8211;\u00a0Royal Society&#8217;s Philosophical Transactions This paper demonstrates how meeting the international community&#8217;s commitment to\u00a0\u201chold the increase in global temperature below 2 degrees Celsius\u201d\u00a0demands emission reductions far beyond those suggested in the plethora of politically-palatable analysis informing governments.\u00a0Relying on real rather than na\u00efve modelled data the paper demonstrates how even a 50:50 chance of not exceeding 2\u00b0C requires\u00a0emission\u00a0reductions of over 7% p.a. &#8211; a conclusion made all the more demanding once equity-issues are considered. Put simply, if even a small emission space is assumed for the poorer (non-Annex 1) nations, there is virtually no space available\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_s2mail":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"blocksy_meta":{"styles_descriptor":{"styles":{"desktop":"","tablet":"","mobile":""},"google_fonts":[],"version":5}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/353"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=353"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/353\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":457,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/353\/revisions\/457"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=353"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=353"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/kevinanderson.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=353"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}